Gore Mountain Weather 09/10
- Thread starter Harvey44
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Harvey44
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Harvey44
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Denison said:
So true. And, so far so good.
It's a good sign when Mrs. Harvey is encouraging me to get out of bed in the middle of the night (from under a 2-ton comforter) to turn on the furnace.
Ok...here's a reasonably current radar shot:
I have watched more radar over the last ten years than any man with a job should. Usually I'm trying to figure out if it's worth the extra effort to get it all done and blow out of work to catch some fresh snow.
To me the question always seems to be...how much cold air is available and is it the right amount to push the rain snow line south of Albany? I've seen that if the precip is mixed in the Hudson Valley* then Gore will be in the WHEELHOUSE.
So how to tell in advance? I found that if the snow line in a radar shot like the one above is around CHICAGO ... then we've got a good shot of SCORING at GORE when the storm reaches us.
Anybody else got weather prediction secrets?
* * *
*Here's something I wrote last year after yet another scary trip through the Hudson Valley, For a NJ boy ...the hairiest driving leads to the best skiing:
http://harvey44.blogspot.com/2008/12/white-knuckle-storm-chasing.html
Spongeworthy
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I had a few inches of wet snow at my cabin this morning 
Harvey44
New member
Spongeworthy said:I had a few inches of wet snow at my cabin this morning
I'm going to use Spongeworthy's report as the first data point on this year's MegaHarv Snow Totals. For those who weren't here or don't remember, I kept track of snow totals last year out of frustration that the mountain doesn't keep a running seasonal total. During the season that Gore is open I will USUALLY use the numbers reported by the mountain, although in a few cases they were inconsistent or wrong and I used the number I thought was right.
Here's last year's total...almost exactly on the Gore Mtn reported average of 150 inches. And that was with nada after mid-March:
http://harvey44.blogspot.com/2009/02/megaharv-snow-totals.html
This year's report is here:
http://harvey44.blogspot.com/2009/10/megaharv-snow-totals-0910.html
SpongeWorthy...you get to pick the name of your weather outpost ("source") I just made it up and will revise based on your input. Would also like to know your elevation. Anybody can submit a report...either in this thread, or ideally in the comments section of the thread on Harvey Road.
One more thing....the Mega in "MegaHarv" is named for our departed and intrepid treeman....Megatron. The MegaHarv Snow Totals live on in his memory.
BRING IT!~
mattchuck2
New member
200% of normal snow totals (in the map above)?!?!!??!?!
300 inches would be pretty sweet (and it would shut up those losers over on AZ)
:-D
300 inches would be pretty sweet (and it would shut up those losers over on AZ)
:-D
thanks for that 'tron project Harv. Mega useful. very interesting. Glad we harv it.
i wonder if 150 inches is traditionally Gore's average snowfall. i seem to recall reading about Gore 8 years ago and they said something like 180 or maybe 220 inches average snowfall. Anybody know for sure? Are we losing snowfall?
It's weird Gore doesn't release annual snowfall info anymore. I know they used to. What gives?
i wonder if 150 inches is traditionally Gore's average snowfall. i seem to recall reading about Gore 8 years ago and they said something like 180 or maybe 220 inches average snowfall. Anybody know for sure? Are we losing snowfall?
It's weird Gore doesn't release annual snowfall info anymore. I know they used to. What gives?
Spongeworthy
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Someone should make a FOIL request :twisted:Snowballs said:
mattchuck2
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Harvey44 said:I admit it...I don't know...what's a FOIL request?
Hey I know this won't amount to anything, but it's a pretty cool forecast for October:
NICE!!!!!!!!!!!!!
nyspnypd
New member
Harvey44 said:I admit it...I don't know...what's a FOIL request?
Hey I know this won't amount to anything, but it's a pretty cool forecast for October:
A FOIL request refers to the freedom of information law This act allows for the full or partial disclosure of previously unreleased information and documents controlled by the United States Government. The Act defines agency records subject to disclosure, outlines mandatory disclosure procedures and grants nine exemptions to the statute.
Harvey44
New member
Amazing how the posting drops way down when the temps rise. Not just here but all across the internets...AZ, FTO, etc....now that the Sunday River thing has died down. I been hard pressed to find any thing stokeworthy to post weatherwise. Sure has been beautiful by the standard definition. But I'm one of those nutcases that likes it cold and cloudy.
OK. There is probably nothing less reliable than an Accuweather 15 day forecast. This really makes me laugh:
So count on it. Snow showers in the morning on Friday Nov 6.
* * *
One thing that I do believe is that long term TEMP forecasts are slightly more reliable than long term PRECIP forecasts. So here's what I got....colder than seasonable temps returning around the first of the month:
If I was smart, I'da started an "Adk Ski Weather 09/10" thread in the General Discussion, to cut down on my post count. :roll: Definitely will take that approach next year.
OK. There is probably nothing less reliable than an Accuweather 15 day forecast. This really makes me laugh:
So count on it. Snow showers in the morning on Friday Nov 6.
* * *
One thing that I do believe is that long term TEMP forecasts are slightly more reliable than long term PRECIP forecasts. So here's what I got....colder than seasonable temps returning around the first of the month:
If I was smart, I'da started an "Adk Ski Weather 09/10" thread in the General Discussion, to cut down on my post count. :roll: Definitely will take that approach next year.
here's a bone to gnaw on.
http://www.poststar.com/news/local/article_d2a677c2-c119-11de-8965-001cc4c03286.html
http://www.poststar.com/news/local/article_d2a677c2-c119-11de-8965-001cc4c03286.html
Harvey44
New member
At least they are using the word "cold" here and there...
LONG TERM from NWS ALY
SUN NT-WED... PROGRESSIVELY COLDER TEMPERATURES...AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITHIN THE VALLEYS. HOWEVER...WITH THE COLDER AIR TRAVERSING THE RELATIVELY TEPID GREAT LAKES WATERS...SOME LAKE EFFECT/ENHANCED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NW AREAS...WITH THE TREND TOWARD SNOW SHOWERS BY TUE NT INTO WED.
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE...SHOWERS OF RAIN OR SNOW COULD EVEN REACH VALLEY AREAS...FROM ALBANY N AND W...ON TUE...COOLING A BIT BY WED. OVERNIGHT MINS WILL MAINLY RANGE FROM THE MID 20S ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...TO LOWER AND MID 30S IN THE VALLEYS.
LONG TERM from NWS ALY
SUN NT-WED... PROGRESSIVELY COLDER TEMPERATURES...AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITHIN THE VALLEYS. HOWEVER...WITH THE COLDER AIR TRAVERSING THE RELATIVELY TEPID GREAT LAKES WATERS...SOME LAKE EFFECT/ENHANCED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NW AREAS...WITH THE TREND TOWARD SNOW SHOWERS BY TUE NT INTO WED.
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE...SHOWERS OF RAIN OR SNOW COULD EVEN REACH VALLEY AREAS...FROM ALBANY N AND W...ON TUE...COOLING A BIT BY WED. OVERNIGHT MINS WILL MAINLY RANGE FROM THE MID 20S ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...TO LOWER AND MID 30S IN THE VALLEYS.
