Gore Mountain Weather 09/10

JfQxS-f453b1ae07461f5b2ca4447e826449dc.jpg


It's just "
 
Bizarre on the jpegs. They always worked in full size until about 2 weeks ago.

OK.. here's what I got.

First, and probably most important... not sure how many of you know Powderfreak. He's a great skier and a great weatherman. Anyway not sure if you saw it but Billski on AZ mentioned that it wasn't a good sign when Powderfreak was silent. Powderfreak got the word and posted this:

"I was starting to get excited for winter in October but then this November has been about as boring as they come wx wise... but winter's coming. From what I've seen this fall my gut says December is a roller coaster ride (transient periods of cold/snow, then thaw, repeat) but then the heart of winter during January and February is white gold."

If anyone know he does.

Not sure if you saw this on my site from the NWS. A little more reinforcement to the idea that some cold air is headed our way:

http://harvey44.blogspot.com/2009/11/looking-better-nws-8-14-day-forecast.html

And there's this piece of weather porn from the hype-meisters at Accuweather:



This image is consistent with what Accuweather has been saying all along. But there something that doesn't make sense. AccuW and now NWS have both been implying that the core of the cold will come down in the center of the US and start nudging eastward. For me that graphic above is funky... if there's a storm coming across the southern states...it should follow the edge of the cold air. If it's going to be a coastal storm there should be some cold air somewhere in the Northeast keeping it out along the coast. Just sayin.

As far as snowmaking.... props to Gore for having the stones to give it a try. I think I mentioned somewhere farther up in this thread that tonight and tomorrow night look to be the coldest nights between now and Thanksgiving. Let's hope that corner turn is on the coast and not in Ohio.

EDITED for boneheaded comment removal.
 
I didn't mean to imply any disrespect to Herb Stevens. He's a great meteorologist, and very readable as well. I follow Weather Missive very closely. It one of the ski blogs that I feed on Harvey Road.

I'll edit my post above to remove any confusion.

I really meant to say that powderfreak is a awesome and fanatical skier who has devoted a major part of his being to our sport, as well as being serious meteorologist.

Here's powderfreak's official take on the upcoming period from FIS. I think it's definitely worth reading:

http://www.famousinternetskiers.com/when-will-the-majority-of-ski-resorts-be-able-to-open/

Again, apologies.
 
Powderfreak is not a meteorologist but is very well versed on the uniquie microclimats of NNE and Upstate NY. He is very good at predicting upslope snows. I am hopefull on a pattern change around turkey day, with most of decemeber looking pretty good.
 
JC7727 said:
Powderfreak is not a meteorologist but is very well versed on the uniquie microclimats of NNE and Upstate NY. He is very good at predicting upslope snows. I am hopefull on a pattern change around turkey day, with most of decemeber looking pretty good.
Click to expand...

OK that was interesting. He seems to be highly regarded by ya'll. wonder how a none meterologist becomes so well versed in unique microclimates? insightful intellect, perservance and good recall.
 
Harvey44 said:
I didn't mean to imply any disrespect to Herb Stevens. He's a great meteorologist, and very readable as well. I follow Weather Missive very closely. It one of the ski blogs that I feed on Harvey Road.

I'll edit my post above to remove any confusion.

I really meant to say that powderfreak is a awesome and fanatical skier who has devoted a major part of his being to our sport, as well as being serious meteorologist.

Here's powderfreak's official take on the upcoming period from FIS. I think it's definitely worth reading:

http://www.famousinternetskiers.com/when-will-the-majority-of-ski-resorts-be-able-to-open/

Again, apologies.
Click to expand...

No need for apologies. I was just being a little sarcastic. Maybe I should have used :D. I find Herb to be pretty good at the long term view.
 
...and today is warm, clear skies and very sunny. will hit 55*....60*, 40* for a low tonight. think i'll go wax some skis, right after i turn on the AC. What the heck. Harv....HELP!!!
 
Fuje...while Accuweather's credibility is sometimes questionable, I do put some stock in the drop in temps they are showing.

Chris - please cheer up.

* * *

This is hot off the press from NWS ALY. It's not exactly stoke but we clearly need a "game changer." I assume they don't use that phrase lightly:

.LONG TERM - MON NIGHT THROUGH SAT

IT APPEARS THIS EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE A GAME CHANGER. (Blah, blah, blah)...THE RESULT WILL BE AN UNSETTLED PERIOD AS WE HEAD INTO THE THANKSGIVING TRAVEL AND HOLIDAY PERIOD. THERE WILL BE SEVERAL FRONTAL PASSAGES AND THEIR BOUTS OF PRECIPITATION. TEMPS WILL REMAIN NR OR ABOVE NORMAL TILL THE END OF THE WEEK WHEN IT WILL TURN NOTICEABLY COLDER.

I will continue the search for good news. Not sure if y'all check the Whiteface thread, if so sorry for the double post:

http://harvey44.blogspot.com/2009/11/nws-long-term-for-black-friday.html

http://harvey44.blogspot.com/2009/11/meek-shall-inherit-earth.html
 
Harvey44 said:
Fuje...while Accuweather's credibility is sometimes questionable, I do put some stock in the drop in temps they are showing.
Click to expand...

Yeah I hear ya. I'd be really happy if we get maybe 6 inches outta that. I just need some positive reinforcement.
 
NOAA Climate Prediction for next 6-10 days weeks:

610temp.new.gif


as of Monday, 22 it looks quite promising (for first days in December)
 
While the forecast may not lead to a bunch of skiing immediately, it's fun stuff to see. Looks like the western Daks may get a decent amount out of it all. Still I wonder how much will stick with ground as warm as it is.

Should be fun to see the pictures posted Sun night by everyone taking part in the mad dash to Jay Peak and No Vt. The dumpage potential up there is big.

One thing is for sure - I can't remember seeing this much CONSENSUS for weather forecasting sources on the long range. Accuweather, the Accuweather bloggers, NWS, Herb Stevens and now Josh Fox...they all are calling for a excellent midwinter for eastern skiers.

Not too productive at work yesterday. Unless you count spending the afternoon scouring the internet for weather porn. Instead of reposting it all here - your friendly neighborhood spiderman would appreciate it if you'd check it all out. Make sure to check out the 72 Hr Snowfall Forecast on the righthand side.

I could post all the individual links but that seems kinda pointless. I hope folks think I'm striking a reasonable balance between posting content here vs links to Harvey Road.
 
It'll all work out in the end, I've been frequenting Harvey Road, pretty cozy over there



I'm already tired of this 'storm'. I think it's just getting a little hype because of the Holiday. Thursday looks interesting..
 
Thanks Chris. Always love getting your input at HR.

Intellicast:

hfd_None_anim.gif


Monday and Tuesday night look really good for snowmaking. Especially Monday.

I know there are other issues to deal with later in the week.
 
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